Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 2–3 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 2–3.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.831.86
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat SV Werder Bremen 3–2. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 13–10, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.83–1.86, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.69 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

TSG Hoffenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

TSG Hoffenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · TSG Hoffenheim13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenTSG HoffenheimBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsSV Werder Bremen 13 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 3 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.86 xGSV Werder Bremen 0.83 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 1.86 xG
  • Possession48%52%SV Werder Bremen 48%, TSG Hoffenheim 52%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersSV Werder Bremen 4 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsSV Werder Bremen 15 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Justin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 29′ · 0.06 xG · goalRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 80′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 17′ · 0.25 xG · goalMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 8′ · 0.48 xG · goalKevin Vogt · TSG Hoffenheim · 63′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.86 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 17′Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 90′Maximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 8′Grischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 29′Marius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 0.86 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 1.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
1TSG Hoffenheim
SV Werder Bremen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2
TSG Hoffenheim — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen7 matchesTSG Hoffenheim7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
2.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.89 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
48.1%Possession7/7● 49.3%
3.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.43 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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