PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 1–3 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–3.

Shots
156
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.971.64
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – Borussia Dortmund): shots 15–6, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.97–1.64, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8%PossessionTSG Hoffenheim · Borussia Dortmund● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession48.8%59.7%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 15 shots, Borussia Dortmund 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 3 shots, Borussia Dortmund 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.64 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.97 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.64 xG
  • Possession53%47%TSG Hoffenheim 53%, Borussia Dortmund 47%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 4 corners, Borussia Dortmund 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 14 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohn Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 27′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 82′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 76′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 15′ · 0.28 xG · on targetGrischa Prömel · TSG Hoffenheim · 48′ · 0.38 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.15 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG. · 4 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1.15 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
4Borussia Dortmund
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–1
Borussia Dortmund — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–0
TSG Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–3
Borussia Dortmund — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim6 matchesBorussia Dortmund6 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/62 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.06 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots6/614.2 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.83 shots/match
48.8%Possession6/6● 59.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.83 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 29 Sept 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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