Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 2–5 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–5.

Shots
159
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.562.55
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat 1. FC Heidenheim 5–2. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – FC Augsburg): shots 15–9, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.56–2.55, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shots1. FC Heidenheim 15 shots, FC Augsburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shots1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots, FC Augsburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG2.55 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.56 xG, FC Augsburg 2.55 xG
  • Possession60%40%1. FC Heidenheim 60%, FC Augsburg 40%
  • Corners6 corners5 corners1. FC Heidenheim 6 corners, FC Augsburg 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls, FC Augsburg 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sven Michel · FC Augsburg · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.05 xG · goalLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Jensen · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Beck · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 76′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 29′ · 0.10 xG · goalJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 18′ · 0.13 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 62′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDenis Thomalla · 1. FC Heidenheim · 8′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 8′ · 0.33 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′ · 0.35 xG · goalFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.35 xG · goalElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 88′ · 0.82 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 42′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.59 xG. FC Augsburg: 9 shots, 6 on target, 2.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Tim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′Jan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 18′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 29′Mads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 41′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 42′Felix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 64′Elvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.59 xG · FC Augsburg 2.54 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim8 matchesFC Augsburg8 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 2.38 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.45 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots8/812.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/84.13 shots/match
44.3% ●Possession8/844.1%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners8/84.5 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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