PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 3–2.

Shots
813
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.381.44
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat VfL Wolfsburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 8–13, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.38–1.44, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsFC Augsburg 8 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFC Augsburg 5 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG1.44 xGFC Augsburg 1.38 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 1.44 xG
  • Possession39%61%FC Augsburg 39%, VfL Wolfsburg 61%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersFC Augsburg 5 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsFC Augsburg 17 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
2Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–0
VfL Wolfsburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg9 matchesVfL Wolfsburg9 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.44 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.49 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.56 shots/match
43.6%Possession9/9● 48.6%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners9/93.67 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls9/912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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