PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 1–2.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.92.28
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – VfB Stuttgart): shots 14–11, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.9–2.28, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · VfB Stuttgart15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht FrankfurtVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible away split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 14 shots, VfB Stuttgart 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 1 shot, VfB Stuttgart 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG2.28 xGEintracht Frankfurt 0.9 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.28 xG
  • Possession57%43%Eintracht Frankfurt 57%, VfB Stuttgart 43%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersEintracht Frankfurt 4 corners, VfB Stuttgart 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 14 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
2Draws
0VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1
VfB Stuttgart — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–3
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt12 matchesVfB Stuttgart12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.58 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.25 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 2.45 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 15.9 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 6.67 shots/match
52.9%Possession12/12● 57.8%
4.17 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.42 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1210 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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