PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfB Stuttgart 2–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 2–0.

Shots
1912
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
3.450.83
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat SV Werder Bremen 2–0. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – SV Werder Bremen): shots 19–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 3.45–0.83, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.54 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · SV Werder Bremen10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match16 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · SV Werder Bremen47.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession57.8%47.1%47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots12 shotsVfB Stuttgart 19 shots, SV Werder Bremen 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsVfB Stuttgart 6 shots, SV Werder Bremen 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.45 xG0.83 xGVfB Stuttgart 3.45 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.83 xG
  • Possession58%42%VfB Stuttgart 58%, SV Werder Bremen 42%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersVfB Stuttgart 6 corners, SV Werder Bremen 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsVfB Stuttgart 6 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Niklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 11′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 40′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 51′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFelix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 67′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 19′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 20′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 35′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 88′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 16′ · 0.28 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 17′ · 0.55 xG · goalSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 6′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 75′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 19 shots, 6 on target, 3.47 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 17′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 3.47 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart13 matchesSV Werder Bremen13 matches
2.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.38 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/132.08 goals/match
2.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.29 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.8 shots/match
6.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.54 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession13/1347.1%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners13/133.38 corners/match
9.69 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required