PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 2–0.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.530.72
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – FC Augsburg): shots 14–11, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.53–0.72, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.64 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsSV Werder Bremen 14 shots, FC Augsburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotSV Werder Bremen 5 shots, FC Augsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.72 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.53 xG, FC Augsburg 0.72 xG
  • Possession49%51%SV Werder Bremen 49%, FC Augsburg 51%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersSV Werder Bremen 5 corners, FC Augsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsSV Werder Bremen 13 fouls, FC Augsburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiloš Veljković · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 30′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNathanaël Mbuku · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 88′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNiklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.16 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 28′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 65′ · 0.26 xG · goalArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.55 xG. FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Niklas Stark · SV Werder Bremen · 39′Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.55 xG · FC Augsburg 0.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
2FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen14 matchesFC Augsburg14 matches
1.43 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.93 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.46 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target14/143.79 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession14/1442.2%
3.5 corners/matchCorners14/14● 3.86 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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