PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–1.

Shots
814
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.411.06
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 8–14, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.41–1.06, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.46 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · Eintracht Frankfurt11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match11 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.5%PossessionFC Augsburg · Eintracht Frankfurt● 53.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession41.5%53.8%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsFC Augsburg 8 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsFC Augsburg 4 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG1.06 xGFC Augsburg 1.41 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.06 xG
  • Possession35%65%FC Augsburg 35%, Eintracht Frankfurt 65%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 2 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsFC Augsburg 9 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
3Draws
1Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1
FC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–2
FC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg13 matchesEintracht Frankfurt13 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.46 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.48 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1311 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target13/134.08 shots/match
41.5%Possession13/13● 53.8%
4 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.15 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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