PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 4–2.

Shots
2310
Shots on target
133
Expected goals
3.230.99
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Borussia M'gladbach 4–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 23–10, shots on target 13–3, expected goals 3.23–0.99, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Borussia M'gladbach13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match17.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots10 shotsBorussia Dortmund 23 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 10 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots3 shotsBorussia Dortmund 13 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.23 xG0.99 xGBorussia Dortmund 3.23 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.99 xG
  • Possession51%49%Borussia Dortmund 51%, Borussia M'gladbach 49%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersBorussia Dortmund 5 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsBorussia Dortmund 11 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′ · 0.03 xG · goalJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 3′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.05 xG · goalManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 32′ · 0.11 xG · goalChristoph Kramer · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 30′ · 0.26 xG · goalMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.26 xG · on targetGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 13′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 22 shots, 12 on target, 2.24 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 30′Niclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 32′Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 45′Rocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 13′Manu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.24 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
2Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga5–2
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga6–0
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund12 matchesBorussia M'gladbach12 matches
2.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/122.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.25 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.57 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots12/1213.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.33 shots/match
57% ●Possession12/1246.8%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.08 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls12/129.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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