PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SC Freiburg 1–1 Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg and Darmstadt 98 drew 1–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.640.35
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg and Darmstadt 98 drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Darmstadt 98): shots 15–7, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.64–0.35, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Darmstadt 98 have a visible away split

moderate

Darmstadt 98's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsSC Freiburg 15 shots, Darmstadt 98 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotSC Freiburg 3 shots, Darmstadt 98 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.35 xGSC Freiburg 1.64 xG, Darmstadt 98 0.35 xG
  • Possession67%33%SC Freiburg 67%, Darmstadt 98 33%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersSC Freiburg 11 corners, Darmstadt 98 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsSC Freiburg 15 fouls, Darmstadt 98 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 34′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFabian Holland · Darmstadt 98 · 38′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 18′ · 0.06 xG · goalRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 46′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Höfler · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJannik Müller · Darmstadt 98 · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 65′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 35′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.61 xG. Darmstadt 98: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 35′Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.61 xG · Darmstadt 98 0.35 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg12 matchesDarmstadt 9812 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.25 goals/match
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.75 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.12 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots12/1212.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.58 shots/match
48% ●Possession12/1247.3%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners12/123.67 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgDarmstadt 98
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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