PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 1–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin and FC Augsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.151.7
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin and FC Augsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – FC Augsburg): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.15–1.7, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shots1. FC Union Berlin 15 shots, FC Augsburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shots1. FC Union Berlin 6 shots, FC Augsburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG1.7 xG1. FC Union Berlin 2.15 xG, FC Augsburg 1.7 xG
  • Possession62%38%1. FC Union Berlin 62%, FC Augsburg 38%
  • Corners3 corners4 corners1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners, FC Augsburg 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

András Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 9′ · 0.06 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobin Knoche · 1. FC Union Berlin · 4′ · 0.09 xG · on targetArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 14′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.15 xG · goalMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 35′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.29 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.32 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goalRobin Knoche · 1. FC Union Berlin · 58′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.20 xG. FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 2.20 xG · FC Augsburg 1.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Union Berlin
2Draws
2FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin12 matchesFC Augsburg12 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.75 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 2 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.52 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots12/1212.5 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124 shots/match
44.3% ●Possession12/1242.1%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners12/124.17 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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