PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Köln and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 0–0.

Shots
513
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.281.42
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Köln and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 5–13, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.28–1.42, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Köln's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Köln show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Köln's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Köln · 1. FSV Mainz 0512.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Köln1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match11.1 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots13 shots1. FC Köln 5 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shots1. FC Köln 3 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.28 xG1.42 xG1. FC Köln 0.28 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.42 xG
  • Possession54%46%1. FC Köln 54%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 46%
  • Corners1 corner7 corners1. FC Köln 1 corner, 1. FSV Mainz 05 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 fouls1. FC Köln 10 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTom Krauß · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTom Krauß · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPhillipp Mwene · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 16′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 43′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Dietz · 1. FC Köln · 66′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 74′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDominik Kohr · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 34′ · 0.17 xG · on targetLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 34′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 4′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 25′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.29 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 0.29 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Köln
2Draws
11. FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga5–0
1. FC Köln — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–2
1. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln14 matches1. FSV Mainz 0514 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.86 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.11 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots14/1412.8 shots/match
4.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.79 shots/match
46.1%Possession14/14● 46.3%
5.36 corners/match ●Corners14/144.86 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Köln1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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