PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund drew 1–1.

Shots
2024
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.822.73
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – Borussia Dortmund): shots 20–24, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.82–2.73, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.6 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionFC Augsburg · Borussia Dortmund● 55.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession41.8%55.5%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots24 shotsFC Augsburg 20 shots, Borussia Dortmund 24 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsFC Augsburg 3 shots, Borussia Dortmund 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG2.73 xGFC Augsburg 1.82 xG, Borussia Dortmund 2.73 xG
  • Possession36%64%FC Augsburg 36%, Borussia Dortmund 64%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersFC Augsburg 4 corners, Borussia Dortmund 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls4 foulsFC Augsburg 13 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Süle · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mbabu · FC Augsburg · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 54′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFredrik Jensen · FC Augsburg · 4′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Borussia Dortmund · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 78′ · 0.08 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Bamba · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 35′ · 0.13 xG · goalJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 19′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Bamba · Borussia Dortmund · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 86′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 49′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 8′ · 0.22 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 53′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 9′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.80 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 24 shots, 7 on target, 2.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 23′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.80 xG · Borussia Dortmund 2.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
1Draws
3Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–3
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–3
FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia Dortmund — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg15 matchesBorussia Dortmund15 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.93 goals/match
1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.94 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5 shots/match
41.8%Possession15/15● 55.5%
3.87 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.67 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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