Bundesliga · 2023

VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 3–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.610.25
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat FC Augsburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – FC Augsburg): shots 17–6, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.61–0.25, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for VfB Stuttgart.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysVfB Stuttgart · FC Augsburg4.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVfB StuttgartFC AugsburgBaseline
Rest days3.04 days4.21 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsVfB Stuttgart 17 shots, FC Augsburg 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsVfB Stuttgart 8 shots, FC Augsburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.61 xG0.25 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.61 xG, FC Augsburg 0.25 xG
  • Possession66%34%VfB Stuttgart 66%, FC Augsburg 34%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersVfB Stuttgart 4 corners, FC Augsburg 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsVfB Stuttgart 8 fouls, FC Augsburg 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRobert Gumny · FC Augsburg · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 18′ · 0.07 xG · goalFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 49′ · 0.13 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 74′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.30 xG · goalJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 34′ · 0.32 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 69′ · 0.36 xG · goalSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.59 xG. FC Augsburg: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 18′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 45′Chris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 2.59 xG · FC Augsburg 0.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
FC Augsburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart16 matchesFC Augsburg16 matches
2.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.5 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.94 goals/match
2.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.41 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots16/1612.2 shots/match
6.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.75 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession16/1641.3%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners16/163.88 corners/match
9.38 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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