PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1.

Shots
1018
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.382.86
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 10–18, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.38–2.86, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Paris Saint-Germain17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots14 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.7%PossessionBorussia Dortmund · Paris Saint-Germain● 67.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession43.7%67.2%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots18 shotsBorussia Dortmund 10 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 18 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 6 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG2.86 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.38 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.86 xG
  • Possession41%59%Borussia Dortmund 41%, Paris Saint-Germain 59%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBorussia Dortmund 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsBorussia Dortmund 13 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSalih Özcan · Borussia Dortmund · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarius Wolf · Borussia Dortmund · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMilan Škriniar · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 59′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.14 xG · goalMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.15 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 79′ · 0.20 xG · on targetRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.21 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.26 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 16′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 32′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 24′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.39 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 51′Warren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.39 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
1Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund6 matchesParis Saint-Germain6 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.27 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5.17 shots/match
43.7%Possession6/6● 67.2%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 7.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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