Ligue 1 · 2023

Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Lille

DDWWD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.421.4
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille and Paris Saint-Germain drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 15–10, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.42–1.4, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.3%PossessionLille · Paris Saint-Germain● 65.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLilleParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Possession56.3%65.3%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsLille 15 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsLille 3 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.42 xG1.4 xGLille 1.42 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.4 xG
  • Possession41%59%Lille 41%, Paris Saint-Germain 59%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersLille 8 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls19 foulsLille 9 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeny Yoro · Lille · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 36′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarquinhos · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Yazıcı · Lille · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAdam Ounas · Lille · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetBenjamin André · Lille · 56′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 90′ · 0.33 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.43 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jonathan David · Lille · 90′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.43 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lille
0Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 14–3
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–7
Lille — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–5
Paris Saint-Germain — Lille · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille16 matchesParis Saint-Germain16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.44 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/160.81 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 2.11 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 15.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲ 6.47 shots/match
56.3%Possession16/16● 65.3%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners16/165.25 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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