PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Toulouse 0–0 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse and Stade Rennais drew 0–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.950.73
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse and Stade Rennais drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Stade Rennais): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.95–0.73, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Toulouse's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · Stade Rennais14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseStade RennaisBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsToulouse 15 shots, Stade Rennais 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsToulouse 6 shots, Stade Rennais 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.73 xGToulouse 0.95 xG, Stade Rennais 0.73 xG
  • Possession49%51%Toulouse 49%, Stade Rennais 51%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersToulouse 4 corners, Stade Rennais 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsToulouse 17 fouls, Stade Rennais 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arthur Theate · Stade Rennais · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGuéla Doué · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFrank Magri · Toulouse · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Suazo · Toulouse · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Cissoko · Toulouse · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCésar Gelabert · Toulouse · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCésar Gelabert · Toulouse · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Cissoko · Toulouse · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThijs Dallinga · Toulouse · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Stade Rennais · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNemanja Matić · Stade Rennais · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Toulouse · 10′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCristian Cásseres Jr. · Toulouse · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Desler · Toulouse · 23′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNaatan Skyttä · Toulouse · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Matić · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Suazo · Toulouse · 23′ · 0.15 xG · on targetChristopher Wooh · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.95 xG. Stade Rennais: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 0.95 xG · Stade Rennais 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Toulouse
0Draws
1Stade Rennais
Toulouse — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
Stade Rennais — Toulouse · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse16 matchesStade Rennais16 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.31 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.43 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.88 shots/match
48.1%Possession16/16● 53.9%
3.19 corners/matchCorners16/16● 4.88 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headToulouse — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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