PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Lorient 1–2 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Lorient

DLLDL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 1–2.

Shots
712
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
0.790.92
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Lorient 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lorient – RC Strasbourg): shots 7–12, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 0.79–0.92, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg have a visible away split

moderate

RC Strasbourg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.63 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.63 shots/match9.88 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.13 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · RC Strasbourg9.88 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots9.13 shots/match9.88 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsLorient 7 shots, RC Strasbourg 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsLorient 1 shot, RC Strasbourg 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG0.92 xGLorient 0.79 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.92 xG
  • Possession52%48%Lorient 52%, RC Strasbourg 48%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerLorient 6 corners, RC Strasbourg 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsLorient 14 fouls, RC Strasbourg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.02 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Lorient · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sebas · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJulien Ponceau · Lorient · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedÂngelo · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 14′ · 0.09 xG · goalAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 13′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 53′ · 0.28 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 41′ · 0.30 xG · on targetEli Junior Kroupi · Lorient · 69′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.80 xG. RC Strasbourg: 12 shots, 9 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ahmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 53′Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 14′Kévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 0.80 xG · RC Strasbourg 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
2Draws
1RC Strasbourg
Lorient — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Lorient · Ligue 11–1
Lorient — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–0
RC Strasbourg — Lorient · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient16 matchesRC Strasbourg16 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161 goal/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.14 xG/match
9.13 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 9.88 shots/match
3.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/163.44 shots/match
45.8% ●Possession16/1641.3%
4.06 corners/match ●Corners16/163.06 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLorientRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headLorient — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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