Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Brestois 4–0 Lorient · Ligue 1

4–0Historical match

Lorient

LLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 4–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.020.51
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Lorient 4–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Lorient): shots 11–7, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.02–0.51, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Stade Brestois, Lorient.

3.33 days ▲Rest daysStade Brestois · Lorient3.25 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricStade BrestoisLorientBaseline
Rest days3.33 days3.25 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Lorient9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisLorientBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match9 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsStade Brestois 11 shots, Lorient 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 7 shots, Lorient 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.51 xGStade Brestois 2.02 xG, Lorient 0.51 xG
  • Possession60%40%Stade Brestois 60%, Lorient 40%
  • Corners1 corner0 cornersStade Brestois 1 corner, Lorient 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls17 foulsStade Brestois 8 fouls, Lorient 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonas Martin · Stade Brestois · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRomain Faivre · Lorient · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Lorient · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIgor Silva · Lorient · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 22′ · 0.05 xG · goalMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAiyegun Tosin · Lorient · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 81′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEli Junior Kroupi · Lorient · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 71′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 31′ · 0.22 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 29′ · 0.38 xG · goalKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.53 xG · goalKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.95 xG. Lorient: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Kamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 22′Kamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 25′Kamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 29′Kamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 1.95 xG · Lorient 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
0Draws
3Lorient
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 11–2
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 10–1
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lorient in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois17 matchesLorient17 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.24 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/172.06 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.91 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots17/179 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/163.81 shots/match
53% ●Possession17/1745.5%
5.06 corners/match ●Corners17/173.82 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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