Ligue 1 · 2023

Nantes 0–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Nantes

LLDWL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 0–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.991.96
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Nantes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Stade Brestois): shots 12–14, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.99–1.96, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Stade Brestois.

7.67 days ▲Rest daysNantes · Stade Brestois6.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNantesStade BrestoisBaseline
Rest days7.67 days6.92 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsNantes 12 shots, Stade Brestois 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsNantes 4 shots, Stade Brestois 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.96 xGNantes 0.99 xG, Stade Brestois 1.96 xG
  • Possession51%49%Nantes 51%, Stade Brestois 49%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersNantes 4 corners, Stade Brestois 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsNantes 15 fouls, Stade Brestois 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Nantes · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 49′ · 0.08 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 85′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 39′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 62′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Nantes · 64′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 78′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 57′ · 0.77 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG. Stade Brestois: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Hugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 49′Steve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.97 xG · Stade Brestois 2.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nantes
1Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–1
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes16 matchesStade Brestois16 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.38 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 14.1 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.81 shots/match
46.5%Possession16/16● 52.6%
4.94 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.31 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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