PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

Nantes

LDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 1–0.

Shots
87
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
1.710.46
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Nantes 1–0. Recorded in this match (Olympique Lyonnais – Nantes): shots 8–7, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 1.71–0.46, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Olympique Lyonnais, Nantes.

5 days ▲Rest daysOlympique Lyonnais · Nantes3.33 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOlympique LyonnaisNantesBaseline
Rest days5 days3.33 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible home split

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 8 shots, Nantes 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 7 shots, Nantes 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.46 xGOlympique Lyonnais 1.71 xG, Nantes 0.46 xG
  • Possession39%61%Olympique Lyonnais 39%, Nantes 61%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersOlympique Lyonnais 7 corners, Nantes 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 8 fouls, Nantes 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moses Simon · Nantes · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Nantes · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Nantes · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 34′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDejan Lovren · Olympique Lyonnais · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 76′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDejan Lovren · Olympique Lyonnais · 34′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 60′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 35′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 49′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 8 shots, 7 on target, 1.68 xG. Nantes: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 1.68 xG · Nantes 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Olympique Lyonnais
2Draws
0Nantes
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 13–2
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais17 matchesNantes17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.65 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.2 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots17/1712.2 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.82 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession17/1747.4%
4.76 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.06 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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