PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 1–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
30
Expected goals
1.30.76
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 11–7, shots on target 3–0, expected goals 1.3–0.76, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.78 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsEintracht Frankfurt · 1. FSV Mainz 0512.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEintracht Frankfurt1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots10.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Eintracht Frankfurt have a visible home split

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 11 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots0 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 3 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG0.76 xGEintracht Frankfurt 1.3 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.76 xG
  • Possession56%44%Eintracht Frankfurt 56%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 44%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerEintracht Frankfurt 2 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 10 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dominik Kohr · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWillian Pacho · Eintracht Frankfurt · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Krauß · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKarim Onisiwo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 53′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Widmer · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 42′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 72′ · 0.68 xG · on targetMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 72′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.90 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.90 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
3Draws
01. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt19 matches1. FSV Mainz 0518 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/180.78 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/181.67 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/181.07 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots19/18▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/183.61 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession19/1846.8%
3.95 corners/matchCorners19/18● 4.72 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Jan 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht Frankfurt1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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