1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga 2023/24 Match Stats

Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 14:30 UTC

1. FSV Mainz 05

DLDDL

0–1Historical match

SV Werder Bremen

DDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 0–1.

Shots: 236
Shots on target: 51
Expected goals: 0.80.59
Possession: 59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – SV Werder Bremen): shots 23–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 0.8–0.59, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.74 goals/match	1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲Shots1. FSV Mainz 05 · SV Werder Bremen11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	1. FSV Mainz 05	SV Werder Bremen	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.1 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.8 fouls/matchFouls1. FSV Mainz 05 · SV Werder Bremen13 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	1. FSV Mainz 05	SV Werder Bremen	Baseline
Fouls	14.8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match	11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

Shots23 shots6 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 23 shots, SV Werder Bremen 6 shots
Shots on target5 shots1 shot1. FSV Mainz 05 5 shots, SV Werder Bremen 1 shot
Expected goals0.8 xG0.59 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 0.8 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.59 xG
Possession59%41%1. FSV Mainz 05 59%, SV Werder Bremen 41%
Corners11 corners1 corner1. FSV Mainz 05 11 corners, SV Werder Bremen 1 corner
Fouls22 fouls16 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 22 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

1. FSV Mainz 05: 23 shots, 5 on target, 0.79 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.79 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FSV Mainz 05

1Draws

1SV Werder Bremen

2 Sept 2023SV Werder Bremen — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga4–0

8 Apr 20231. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–2

15 Oct 2022SV Werder Bremen — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 0519 matchesSV Werder Bremen20 matches

0.74 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.45 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/201.6 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals19/20▲ 1.29 xG/match

13.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/2011.1 shots/match

3.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/203.4 shots/match

47.5% ●Possession19/2046.1%

5.05 corners/match ●Corners19/203.25 corners/match

14.8 fouls/matchFouls19/2013 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples19 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season