1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga 2023/24 Match Stats

Bundesliga · 2023Wed, 7 Feb 2024, 17:30 UTC

1. FSV Mainz 05

LDDLL

1–1Historical match

1. FC Union Berlin

WDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin drew 1–1.

Shots: 1616
Shots on target: 84
Expected goals: 1.351.04
Possession: 45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 16–16, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 1.35–1.04, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.95 goals/match	1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FC Union Berlin.

4.12 days ▲Rest days1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1. FC Union Berlin3.04 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	1. FSV Mainz 05	1. FC Union Berlin	Baseline
Rest days	4.12 days	3.04 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲Shots1. FSV Mainz 05 · 1. FC Union Berlin12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	1. FSV Mainz 05	1. FC Union Berlin	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.5 shots/match
Shots against	11.3 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

Shots16 shots16 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 16 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 16 shots
Shots on target8 shots4 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 8 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 shots
Expected goals1.35 xG1.04 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 1.35 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.04 xG
Possession45%55%1. FSV Mainz 05 45%, 1. FC Union Berlin 55%
Corners8 corners3 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 8 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners
Fouls14 fouls15 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 14 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

1. FSV Mainz 05: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.38 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.38 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FSV Mainz 05

1Draws

41. FC Union Berlin

20 Aug 20231. FC Union Berlin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga4–1

4 Feb 20231. FC Union Berlin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1

14 Aug 20221. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–0

26 Feb 20221. FC Union Berlin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga3–1

3 Oct 20211. FSV Mainz 05 — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 0520 matches1. FC Union Berlin20 matches

0.75 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 0.95 goals/match

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.75 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.17 xG/match

13.3 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.1 shots/match

3.9 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.2 shots/match

47.4% ●Possession20/2043.5%

5.2 corners/match ●Corners20/204.55 corners/match

14.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Feb 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded