PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.930.26
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat SC Freiburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – SC Freiburg): shots 17–6, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.93–0.26, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.05 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible away split

moderate

SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.09 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.09 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · SC Freiburg12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 17 shots, SC Freiburg 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsBorussia Dortmund 8 shots, SC Freiburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG0.26 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.93 xG, SC Freiburg 0.26 xG
  • Possession66%34%Borussia Dortmund 66%, SC Freiburg 34%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 5 corners, SC Freiburg 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsBorussia Dortmund 13 fouls, SC Freiburg 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordy Makengo · SC Freiburg · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Philipp · SC Freiburg · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 20′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 16′ · 0.07 xG · goalJadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 13′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 71′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.20 xG · goalNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.22 xG · on targetJadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.94 xG. SC Freiburg: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 16′Donyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 45′Niclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.94 xG · SC Freiburg 0.26 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
1SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–4
Borussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–1
SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–3
Borussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–1
SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund21 matchesSC Freiburg21 matches
2.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.24 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.76 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.49 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112 shots/match
5.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.48 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession21/2146.8%
4.9 corners/match ●Corners21/214 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Feb 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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