VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga 2023/24 Match Stats

Bundesliga · 2023Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 14:30 UTC

VfB Stuttgart

WLLWW

3–1Historical match

1. FSV Mainz 05

DDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 3–1.

Shots: 1117
Shots on target: 76
Expected goals: 1.941.45
Possession: 62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 11–17, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.94–1.45, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

8 days ▲Rest daysVfB Stuttgart · 1. FSV Mainz 053.88 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	1. FSV Mainz 05	Baseline
Rest days	8 days	3.88 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 match	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.76 goals/match	1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.5% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · 1. FSV Mainz 0546.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	1. FSV Mainz 05	Baseline
Possession	59.5%	46.9%	47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots11 shots17 shotsVfB Stuttgart 11 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 17 shots
Shots on target7 shots6 shotsVfB Stuttgart 7 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 6 shots
Expected goals1.94 xG1.45 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.94 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.45 xG
Possession62%38%VfB Stuttgart 62%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 38%
Corners4 corners5 cornersVfB Stuttgart 4 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 corners
Fouls7 fouls9 foulsVfB Stuttgart 7 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.96 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 1.96 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3VfB Stuttgart

2Draws

01. FSV Mainz 05

16 Sept 20231. FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3

21 May 20231. FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–4

21 Jan 2023VfB Stuttgart — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1

16 Apr 20221. FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–0

26 Nov 2021VfB Stuttgart — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart21 matches1. FSV Mainz 0521 matches

2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.76 goals/match

1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.67 goals/match

2.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.09 xG/match

16 shots/match ▲Shots21/2113.5 shots/match

6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214 shots/match

59.5% ●Possession21/2146.9%

4.86 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.19 corners/match

9.52 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance