PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 3–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.080.96
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Borussia M'gladbach 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 20–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.08–0.96, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Borussia M'gladbach12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots20.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against8.8 shots/match17.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.7% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · Borussia M'gladbach45.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Possession61.7%45.7%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsFC Bayern München 20 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 6 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.08 xG0.96 xGFC Bayern München 2.08 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.96 xG
  • Possession56%44%FC Bayern München 56%, Borussia M'gladbach 44%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsFC Bayern München 10 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 27′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 34′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.09 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 86′ · 0.10 xG · goalJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 47′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 33′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.26 xG · goalAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.34 xG · goalNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 35′ · 0.39 xG · goalLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 10′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.13 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.98 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Aleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 45′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 70′Matthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 86′Nico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.13 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 0.98 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Bayern München
2Draws
2Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–2
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München20 matchesBorussia M'gladbach20 matches
2.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.8 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/202.05 goals/match
2.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.44 xG/match
20.1 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.4 shots/match
7.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.5 shots/match
61.7% ●Possession20/2045.7%
7.7 corners/match ●Corners20/205.2 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls20/209.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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