Bundesliga · 2023

SC Freiburg 1–3 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 1–3.

Shots
617
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
0.71.76
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat SC Freiburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – VfB Stuttgart): shots 6–17, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 0.7–1.76, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · VfB Stuttgart16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.5%PossessionSC Freiburg · VfB Stuttgart● 59.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession47.5%59.4%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots17 shotsSC Freiburg 6 shots, VfB Stuttgart 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsSC Freiburg 4 shots, VfB Stuttgart 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.76 xGSC Freiburg 0.7 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.76 xG
  • Possession34%66%SC Freiburg 34%, VfB Stuttgart 66%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersSC Freiburg 1 corner, VfB Stuttgart 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsSC Freiburg 10 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · SC Freiburg · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 39′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 71′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 3′ · 0.12 xG · goalEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 74′ · 0.18 xG · goalChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 7′ · 0.23 xG · goalMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.31 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 55′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 17 shots, 9 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 45′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 3′Chris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 7′Maximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 0.72 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4SC Freiburg
0Draws
1VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–0
SC Freiburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–1
SC Freiburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–0
VfB Stuttgart — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg20 matchesVfB Stuttgart20 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.3 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 2.24 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 6.65 shots/match
47.5%Possession20/20● 59.4%
4.05 corners/matchCorners20/20● 4.9 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls20/209.65 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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