PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1–2.

Shots
618
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.431.88
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 6–18, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.43–1.88, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.41 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match8.55 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.68 corners/matchCorners1. FC Heidenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 6.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Corners5.68 corners/match6.64 corners/match4.64 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots18 shots1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shots1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG1.88 xG1. FC Heidenheim 0.43 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.88 xG
  • Possession38%62%1. FC Heidenheim 38%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 62%
  • Corners4 corners5 corners1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls5 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 15 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Pick · 1. FC Heidenheim · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNikola Dovedan · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 87′ · 0.21 xG · goalAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 81′ · 0.65 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.41 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 18 shots, 3 on target, 1.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Tim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 87′Jeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′Amine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 0.41 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
0Draws
1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim22 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen22 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 2.59 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 0.68 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 2.1 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 17.6 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 6.86 shots/match
41%Possession22/22● 61.4%
5.68 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.64 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls22/228.91 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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