PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.051.12
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 12–10, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.05–1.12, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shots1. FC Union Berlin 12 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shots1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.12 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.05 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.12 xG
  • Possession58%42%1. FC Union Berlin 58%, 1. FC Heidenheim 42%
  • Corners4 corners2 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 9 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Omar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 1′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLennard Maloney · 1. FC Heidenheim · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 33′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.14 xG · goalLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.20 xG · goalNikola Dovedan · 1. FC Heidenheim · 3′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Robin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′András Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′Nikola Dovedan · 1. FC Heidenheim · 3′Jan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.05 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin23 matches1. FC Heidenheim23 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.74 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.23 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots23/2311.4 shots/match
3.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.35 shots/match
43.5% ●Possession23/2341.1%
4.48 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.52 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union Berlin1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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