PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 5–2 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

5–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 5–2.

Shots
2216
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
3.651.59
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach beat VfL Bochum 1848 5–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 22–16, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 3.65–1.59, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · VfL Bochum 184814.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots13.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match16 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots16 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 22 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 6 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.65 xG1.59 xGBorussia M'gladbach 3.65 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.59 xG
  • Possession49%51%Borussia M'gladbach 49%, VfL Bochum 1848 51%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 5 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 13 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStefan Lainer · Borussia M'gladbach · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Herrmann · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 88′ · 0.13 xG · goalFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 6′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 39′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′ · 0.33 xG · goalJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′ · 0.44 xG · goalRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 72′ · 0.50 xG · goalPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′ · 0.58 xG · goalJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 35′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 22 shots, 6 on target, 3.65 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Nathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′Julian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 35′Rocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 72′Jordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′Franck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′Philipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′Keven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 3.65 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 1.61 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach23 matchesVfL Bochum 184823 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.22 goals/match
1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed23/232 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.31 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target23/234.39 shots/match
46.6% ●Possession23/2344.4%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners23/233.74 corners/match
9.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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