Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 2–0.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
90
Expected goals
1.690.7
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat Borussia M'gladbach 2–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 16–15, shots on target 9–0, expected goals 1.69–0.7, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Borussia M'gladbach13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match17.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.05 corners/match ●CornersRB Leipzig · Borussia M'gladbach5.23 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Corners6.05 corners/match5.23 corners/match4.64 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsRB Leipzig 16 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 15 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots0 shotsRB Leipzig 9 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG0.7 xGRB Leipzig 1.69 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.7 xG
  • Possession49%51%RB Leipzig 49%, Borussia M'gladbach 51%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersRB Leipzig 8 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsRB Leipzig 12 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 13′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Haidara · RB Leipzig · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStefan Lainer · Borussia M'gladbach · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedShio Fukuda · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 55′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 14′ · 0.08 xG · goalXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYussuf Poulsen · RB Leipzig · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 78′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 73′ · 0.17 xG · on targetYussuf Poulsen · RB Leipzig · 2′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 57′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 16 shots, 9 on target, 1.71 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 15 shots, 0 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 14′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.71 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 0.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RB Leipzig
0Draws
2Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–1
RB Leipzig — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia M'gladbach — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia M'gladbach — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–1
RB Leipzig — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig22 matchesBorussia M'gladbach22 matches
2.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.64 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.95 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.41 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2213 shots/match
6.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.45 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession22/2246.5%
6.05 corners/match ●Corners22/225.23 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls22/229.55 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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