PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 1–1 Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen and Darmstadt 98 drew 1–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.820.96
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen and Darmstadt 98 drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – Darmstadt 98): shots 15–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.82–0.96, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsSV Werder Bremen · Darmstadt 9813.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenDarmstadt 98Baseline
Fouls12.6 fouls/match13.5 fouls/match11.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsSV Werder Bremen 15 shots, Darmstadt 98 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSV Werder Bremen 4 shots, Darmstadt 98 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.96 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.82 xG, Darmstadt 98 0.96 xG
  • Possession55%45%SV Werder Bremen 55%, Darmstadt 98 45%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSV Werder Bremen 4 corners, Darmstadt 98 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsSV Werder Bremen 10 fouls, Darmstadt 98 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
2Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98 — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–2
SV Werder Bremen — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Darmstadt 98 — SV Werder Bremen · 2. Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen23 matchesDarmstadt 9823 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.04 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.26 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.04 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target23/233.61 shots/match
47.2%Possession23/23● 48.2%
3.35 corners/matchCorners23/23● 3.7 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenDarmstadt 98
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — Darmstadt 98
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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