PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 3–3 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach and 1. FC Köln drew 3–3.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.810.62
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia M'gladbach and 1. FC Köln drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – 1. FC Köln): shots 17–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.81–0.62, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia M'gladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia M'gladbach's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Köln have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Köln's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.77 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.77 shots/match12 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.36 corners/match ●CornersBorussia M'gladbach · 1. FC Köln5.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbach1. FC KölnBaseline
Corners5.36 corners/match5.2 corners/match4.72 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 17 shots, 1. FC Köln 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 5 shots, 1. FC Köln 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.62 xGBorussia M'gladbach 1.81 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.62 xG
  • Possession58%42%Borussia M'gladbach 58%, 1. FC Köln 42%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 8 corners, 1. FC Köln 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 15 fouls, 1. FC Köln 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDamion Downs · 1. FC Köln · 79′ · 0.03 xG · goalFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 21′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 7′ · 0.05 xG · goalSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 73′ · 0.08 xG · goalSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 71′ · 0.09 xG · goalNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 64′ · 0.12 xG · goalLeart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln · 77′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 32′ · 0.19 xG · goalFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 53′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.77 xG. 1. FC Köln: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Franck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 32′Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 71′Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 73′Faride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 7′Faride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 64′Damion Downs · 1. FC Köln · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 1.77 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
31. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–1
1. FC Köln — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga0–0
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga5–2
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach25 matches1. FC Köln25 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.76 goals/match
1.96 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.02 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.16 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession25/2544.9%
5.36 corners/match ●Corners25/255.2 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbach1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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