PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1.

Shots
197
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.170.52
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim and Borussia M'gladbach drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 19–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.17–0.52, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.35 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.62 corners/match ●Corners1. FC Heidenheim · Borussia M'gladbach5.31 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Corners5.62 corners/match5.31 corners/match4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shots1. FC Heidenheim 19 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shots1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.52 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.17 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 0.52 xG
  • Possession53%47%1. FC Heidenheim 53%, Borussia M'gladbach 47%
  • Corners10 corners4 corners1. FC Heidenheim 10 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 16 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · Borussia M'gladbach · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.04 xG · goalPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNikola Dovedan · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 40′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.24 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.19 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Eren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.19 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
0Draws
1Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim26 matchesBorussia M'gladbach26 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.77 goals/match
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.92 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.46 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.46 shots/match
42.2%Possession26/26● 47.4%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners26/265.31 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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