PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 2–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.161.05
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat SV Werder Bremen 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – SV Werder Bremen): shots 11–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.16–1.05, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.35 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shots1. FC Union Berlin 11 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shots1. FC Union Berlin 6 shots, SV Werder Bremen 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG1.05 xG1. FC Union Berlin 1.16 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.05 xG
  • Possession49%51%1. FC Union Berlin 49%, SV Werder Bremen 51%
  • Corners4 corners3 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, SV Werder Bremen 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 16 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Felix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDawid Kownacki · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelix Agu · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 66′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′ · 0.21 xG · goalLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 67′ · 0.24 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 46′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′ · 0.35 xG · goalMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 63′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.14 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Yorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′Brenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1.14 xG · SV Werder Bremen 1.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–0
SV Werder Bremen — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin26 matchesSV Werder Bremen26 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.58 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.36 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots26/2611.9 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.58 shots/match
43%Possession26/26● 47.5%
4.54 corners/match ●Corners26/263.62 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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