PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfB Stuttgart 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 2–0.

Shots
149
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.990.91
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.99–0.91, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfB Stuttgart's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.9% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Union Berlin42.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Possession59.9%42.8%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Union Berlin11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsVfB Stuttgart 14 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVfB Stuttgart 5 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.91 xGVfB Stuttgart 0.99 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.91 xG
  • Possession70%30%VfB Stuttgart 70%, 1. FC Union Berlin 30%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersVfB Stuttgart 4 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsVfB Stuttgart 7 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 33′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChris Bedia · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWoo-Yeong Jeong · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 65′ · 0.05 xG · goalHiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 46′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 16′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 42′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 12′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 19′ · 0.31 xG · goalYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 3′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.03 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.92 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 19′Chris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 1.03 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.92 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfB Stuttgart
2Draws
21. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–3
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–0
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart25 matches1. FC Union Berlin25 matches
2.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.92 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.64 goals/match
2.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.14 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots25/2511.8 shots/match
6.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.92 shots/match
59.9% ●Possession25/2542.8%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners25/254.56 corners/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Mar 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB Stuttgart1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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