Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

8–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 8–1.

Shots
2414
Shots on target
122
Expected goals
6.410.84
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 8–1. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 24–14, shots on target 12–2, expected goals 6.41–0.84, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · 1. FSV Mainz 0513.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern München1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots19.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.48 corners/match ●CornersFC Bayern München · 1. FSV Mainz 055.48 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern München1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Corners7.48 corners/match5.48 corners/match4.72 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots14 shotsFC Bayern München 24 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 14 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots2 shotsFC Bayern München 12 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 shots
  • Expected goals6.41 xG0.84 xGFC Bayern München 6.41 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.84 xG
  • Possession59%41%FC Bayern München 59%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 41%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsFC Bayern München 8 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhillipp Mwene · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 31′ · 0.03 xG · goalNadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPhillipp Mwene · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Widmer · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Widmer · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 27′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.22 xG · goalSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 60′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.35 xG · goalLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.48 xG · goalSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.53 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.59 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.89 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 13′ · 0.95 xG · goalThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 47′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 24 shots, 11 on target, 6.64 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

03.570′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 13′Leon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 19′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′Thomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 47′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 61′Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 66′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 70′Leon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 90′Nadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 6.64 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Bayern München
0Draws
21. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–1
FC Bayern München — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga6–2
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–1
FC Bayern München — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München25 matches1. FSV Mainz 0525 matches
2.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.8 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.84 goals/match
2.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.12 xG/match
19.9 shots/match ▲Shots25/2513.9 shots/match
7.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.92 shots/match
61.6% ●Possession25/2546%
7.48 corners/match ●Corners25/255.48 corners/match
9.64 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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