PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 2–0 Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 2–0.

Shots
299
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
3.380.55
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat Darmstadt 98 2–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – Darmstadt 98): shots 29–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 3.38–0.55, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Darmstadt 98's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Darmstadt 9812.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigDarmstadt 98Baseline
Shots16 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match16.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

RB Leipzig have a visible home split

moderate

RB Leipzig's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match16 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots9 shotsRB Leipzig 29 shots, Darmstadt 98 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsRB Leipzig 8 shots, Darmstadt 98 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.38 xG0.55 xGRB Leipzig 3.38 xG, Darmstadt 98 0.55 xG
  • Possession64%36%RB Leipzig 64%, Darmstadt 98 36%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersRB Leipzig 8 corners, Darmstadt 98 4 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls14 foulsRB Leipzig 3 fouls, Darmstadt 98 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RB Leipzig
0Draws
0Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98 — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig25 matchesDarmstadt 9825 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.96 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/252.4 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.01 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.5 shots/match
6.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.68 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession25/2547.6%
6 corners/match ●Corners25/253.68 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2513.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigDarmstadt 98
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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