Bundesliga · 2023

Darmstadt 98 2–5 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 2–5.

Shots
727
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.183.65
Possession
24%76%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Darmstadt 98 5–2. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – FC Bayern München): shots 7–27, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.18–3.65, possession 24%–76%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsDarmstadt 98 · FC Bayern München20.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98FC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match20.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.9 shots/match9.69 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.8 goals/match3 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.7%PossessionDarmstadt 98 · FC Bayern München● 62.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98FC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession46.7%62.2%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots27 shotsDarmstadt 98 7 shots, FC Bayern München 27 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsDarmstadt 98 3 shots, FC Bayern München 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG3.65 xGDarmstadt 98 1.18 xG, FC Bayern München 3.65 xG
  • Possession24%76%Darmstadt 98 24%, FC Bayern München 76%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersDarmstadt 98 2 corners, FC Bayern München 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsDarmstadt 98 9 fouls, FC Bayern München 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Polter · Darmstadt 98 · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 26′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 74′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 28′ · 0.19 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.19 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.20 xG · goalOscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 32′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.32 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.46 xG · goalOscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 90′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.17 xG. FC Bayern München: 27 shots, 6 on target, 3.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 28′Oscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 90′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 36′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 64′Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 74′Mathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 1.17 xG · FC Bayern München 3.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Darmstadt 98
0Draws
1FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga8–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 9826 matchesFC Bayern München26 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 3 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 2.81 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 20.2 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 7.65 shots/match
46.7%Possession26/26● 62.2%
3.62 corners/matchCorners26/26● 7.54 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls26/269.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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