PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

FC Bayern München 3–0 Lazio · UEFA Champions League

3–0Historical match

Lazio

LWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 3–0.

Shots
245
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
3.570.42
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Lazio 3–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Lazio): shots 24–5, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 3.57–0.42, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio have a visible away split

weak

Lazio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Lazio11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenLazioBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against9.38 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 24 shots, Lazio 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsFC Bayern München 7 shots, Lazio 0 shots
  • Expected goals3.57 xG0.42 xGFC Bayern München 3.57 xG, Lazio 0.42 xG
  • Possession60%40%FC Bayern München 60%, Lazio 40%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 6 corners, Lazio 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsFC Bayern München 14 fouls, Lazio 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luis Alberto · Lazio · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 71′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 6′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 24′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.24 xG · goalCiro Immobile · Lazio · 37′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 40′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.59 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 24 shots, 7 on target, 3.55 xG. Lazio: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 39′Thomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 45′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.55 xG · Lazio 0.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Bayern München
0Draws
1Lazio
Lazio — FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München8 matchesLazio8 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.33 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.6 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.5 shots/match
58.8% ●Possession8/844%
5.63 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenLazio
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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