PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.270.91
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 16–9, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.27–0.91, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsBorussia Dortmund 16 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsBorussia Dortmund 6 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG0.91 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.27 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.91 xG
  • Possession66%34%Borussia Dortmund 66%, Eintracht Frankfurt 34%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 8 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls9 foulsBorussia Dortmund 5 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ian Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′ · 0.14 xG · goalMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.36 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.40 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′ · 0.48 xG · on targetEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.31 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 9 shots, 6 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 33′Mats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 81′Emre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 90′Mario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.31 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
0Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–3
Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga4–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–3
Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga5–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund26 matchesEintracht Frankfurt26 matches
2.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.62 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.35 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.37 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.7 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.23 shots/match
58.8% ●Possession26/2651.4%
5.19 corners/match ●Corners26/264.12 corners/match
9.54 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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