PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 3–1.

Shots
176
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.430.57
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–1. Recorded in this match (Eintracht Frankfurt – TSG Hoffenheim): shots 17–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.43–0.57, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt have a visible home split

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 17 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsEintracht Frankfurt 7 shots, TSG Hoffenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG0.57 xGEintracht Frankfurt 2.43 xG, TSG Hoffenheim 0.57 xG
  • Possession65%35%Eintracht Frankfurt 65%, TSG Hoffenheim 35%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerEintracht Frankfurt 5 corners, TSG Hoffenheim 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsEintracht Frankfurt 11 fouls, TSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ihlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTimothy Chandler · Eintracht Frankfurt · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBambasé Conté · TSG Hoffenheim · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′ · 0.06 xG · goalNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 3′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 63′ · 0.12 xG · on targetFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 20′ · 0.18 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′ · 0.18 xG · goalAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 47′ · 0.24 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 55′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedRobin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJohn Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 6′ · 0.31 xG · goalMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Eintracht Frankfurt: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.42 xG. TSG Hoffenheim: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Robin Koch · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′Eric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 50′Mario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 64′John Brooks · TSG Hoffenheim · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Eintracht Frankfurt 2.42 xG · TSG Hoffenheim 0.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Eintracht Frankfurt
1Draws
2TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–3
TSG Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga4–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–2
TSG Hoffenheim — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · TSG Hoffenheim in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Eintracht Frankfurt25 matchesTSG Hoffenheim25 matches
1.64 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.88 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.63 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.76 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession25/2549.2%
4.16 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.2 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEintracht FrankfurtTSG Hoffenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headEintracht Frankfurt — TSG Hoffenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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