PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2–0.

Shots
192
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
2.090.17
Possession
76%24%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat VfL Wolfsburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 19–2, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 2.09–0.17, possession 76%–24%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Wolfsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfL Wolfsburg12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match12 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.36 shots/match13.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfL Wolfsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Wolfsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.9% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · VfL Wolfsburg46.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Possession62.9%46.8%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots2 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 19 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 2 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotBayer 04 Leverkusen 8 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.09 xG0.17 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.09 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.17 xG
  • Possession76%24%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 9 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 6 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosip Stanišić · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCedric Zesiger · VfL Wolfsburg · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 40′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 27′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 86′ · 0.27 xG · goalFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.40 xG · on targetNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 19 shots, 8 on target, 2.13 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 37′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.13 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–2
VfL Wolfsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–2
VfL Wolfsburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen25 matchesVfL Wolfsburg25 matches
2.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.2 goals/match
0.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.64 goals/match
2.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.2 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512 shots/match
6.84 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.52 shots/match
62.9% ●Possession25/2546.8%
7 corners/match ●Corners25/254.2 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenVfL Wolfsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — VfL Wolfsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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