PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 2–0 PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 2–0.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.51.55
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat PSV Eindhoven 2–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – PSV Eindhoven): shots 15–17, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.5–1.55, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · PSV Eindhoven17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.5%PossessionBorussia Dortmund · PSV Eindhoven● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession44.5%56.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsBorussia Dortmund 15 shots, PSV Eindhoven 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsBorussia Dortmund 7 shots, PSV Eindhoven 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG1.55 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.5 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.55 xG
  • Possession49%51%Borussia Dortmund 49%, PSV Eindhoven 51%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersBorussia Dortmund 5 corners, PSV Eindhoven 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsBorussia Dortmund 7 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOlivier Boscagli · PSV Eindhoven · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHirving Lozano · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 3′ · 0.05 xG · goalNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 85′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSalih Özcan · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 64′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJordan Teze · PSV Eindhoven · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 71′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJohan Bakayoko · PSV Eindhoven · 71′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.13 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 16′ · 0.17 xG · on targetLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLuuk de Jong · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.52 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 3′Marco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.52 xG · PSV Eindhoven 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
0PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund8 matchesPSV Eindhoven12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/12▲ 1.92 goals/match
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/121.5 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots8/12▲ 17.3 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target8/12▲ 6.67 shots/match
44.5%Possession8/12● 56.3%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners8/125.25 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/1210.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required