PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 3–3.

Shots
206
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
3.041.32
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 20–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 3.04–1.32, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.79 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.79 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.3% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Heidenheim41.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession60.3%41.7%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Heidenheim11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match15.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsVfB Stuttgart 20 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsVfB Stuttgart 6 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.04 xG1.32 xGVfB Stuttgart 3.04 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.32 xG
  • Possession73%27%VfB Stuttgart 73%, 1. FC Heidenheim 27%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersVfB Stuttgart 6 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 7 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls9 foulsVfB Stuttgart 5 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0VfB Stuttgart
0Draws
11. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart27 matches1. FC Heidenheim27 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.41 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.74 goals/match
2.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.19 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.4 shots/match
6.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.22 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession27/2741.7%
4.96 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.67 corners/match
9.78 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB Stuttgart1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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