PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 0–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.481.56
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat Borussia Dortmund 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – VfB Stuttgart): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.48–1.56, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match15.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsBorussia Dortmund 16 shots, VfB Stuttgart 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsBorussia Dortmund 7 shots, VfB Stuttgart 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.48 xG1.56 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.48 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.56 xG
  • Possession51%49%Borussia Dortmund 51%, VfB Stuttgart 49%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 8 corners, VfB Stuttgart 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsBorussia Dortmund 8 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 13′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIan Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 70′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWoo-Yeong Jeong · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoussoufa Moukoko · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 60′ · 0.25 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 25′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 64′ · 0.40 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 31′ · 0.57 xG · on targetNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.74 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.46 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.46 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
1VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–3
Borussia Dortmund — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga5–0
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund28 matchesVfB Stuttgart28 matches
1.96 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 2.29 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.21 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 2.19 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots28/2815.6 shots/match
5.68 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 6.29 shots/match
57.8%Possession28/28● 59.9%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners28/284.89 corners/match
9.39 fouls/matchFouls28/289.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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