PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Atlético Madrid 2–1 Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.180.87
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Borussia Dortmund): shots 14–12, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.18–0.87, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Madrid · Borussia Dortmund13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsAtlético Madrid 14 shots, Borussia Dortmund 12 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsAtlético Madrid 9 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG0.87 xGAtlético Madrid 2.18 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.87 xG
  • Possession33%67%Atlético Madrid 33%, Borussia Dortmund 67%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersAtlético Madrid 8 corners, Borussia Dortmund 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsAtlético Madrid 10 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Álvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRodrigo Riquelme · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAxel Witsel · Atlético Madrid · 7′ · 0.13 xG · on targetÁlvaro Morata · Atlético Madrid · 20′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Correa · Atlético Madrid · 85′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSébastien Haller · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.32 xG · goalRodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 4′ · 0.37 xG · goalSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 75′ · 0.40 xG · on targetSamuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 32′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 14 shots, 9 on target, 2.22 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rodrigo De Paul · Atlético Madrid · 4′Samuel Lino · Atlético Madrid · 32′Sébastien Haller · Borussia Dortmund · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.22 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.90 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid9 matchesBorussia Dortmund9 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.22 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.25 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/913.2 shots/match
5.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.78 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession9/947%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.67 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/910.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MadridBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required