PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–2.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.171.33
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Borussia M'gladbach 2–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – Borussia Dortmund): shots 18–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.17–1.33, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · Borussia Dortmund15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.3%PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · Borussia Dortmund● 57.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession47.3%57.7%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 18 shots, Borussia Dortmund 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 4 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG1.33 xGBorussia M'gladbach 1.17 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.33 xG
  • Possession46%54%Borussia M'gladbach 46%, Borussia Dortmund 54%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 2 corners, Borussia Dortmund 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 13 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marius Wolf · Borussia Dortmund · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 11′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 22′ · 0.04 xG · goalMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 36′ · 0.06 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′ · 0.18 xG · on targetTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Maximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 36′Marcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 22′Marcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 1.19 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
0Draws
3Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga5–2
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga6–0
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach29 matchesBorussia Dortmund29 matches
1.72 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.97 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.91 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 5.62 shots/match
47.3%Possession29/29● 57.7%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners29/295.21 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls29/299.45 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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