PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 2–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 2–0.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.220.88
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat 1. FC Köln 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – 1. FC Köln): shots 16–11, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.22–0.88, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · 1. FC Köln12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern München1. FC KölnBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.76 shots/match15.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.6% ●PossessionFC Bayern München · 1. FC Köln44.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern München1. FC KölnBaseline
Possession62.6%44.4%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsFC Bayern München 16 shots, 1. FC Köln 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 6 shots, 1. FC Köln 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG0.88 xGFC Bayern München 2.22 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.88 xG
  • Possession69%31%FC Bayern München 69%, 1. FC Köln 31%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersFC Bayern München 5 corners, 1. FC Köln 5 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls15 foulsFC Bayern München 3 fouls, 1. FC Köln 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatthijs de Ligt · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenno Schmitz · 1. FC Köln · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.03 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFaride Alidou · 1. FC Köln · 43′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 41′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSargis Adamyan · 1. FC Köln · 20′ · 0.27 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.53 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.62 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.24 xG. 1. FC Köln: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 65′Thomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.24 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Bayern München
1Draws
01. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München29 matches1. FC Köln29 matches
2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.79 goals/match
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.76 goals/match
2.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.04 xG/match
19.7 shots/match ▲Shots29/2912.1 shots/match
7.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.14 shots/match
62.6% ●Possession29/2944.4%
7.28 corners/match ●Corners29/295.28 corners/match
9.14 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern München1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — 1. FC Köln
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required